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Monday, April 29, 2024

China-led EV boom in Thailand threatens Japan’s grip on key market


CHINA VS JAPAN

Bangkok resident Pasit Chantharojwong drove a Toyota Corolla for a decade and a half before switching to Great Wall’s Ora Good Cat this year. “I’ll never go back to a combustion-engine car again,” said the 55-year-old teacher, who also drives part-time for a ride-hailing service.

Of the nearly 850,000 new cars registered in Thailand last year, only around 1 per cent were EVs, according to government data. But between January and April this year, that proportion rose to more than 6 per cent.

BYD is now the market leader, followed by China’s SAIC and Hozon and US automaker Tesla, according to registration data showing 18,481 EVs sold between January and April.

More than 7,300 of those were BYD cars. Only 11 newly registered EVs this year came from Toyota, Thailand’s dominant brand that along with its partner Isuzu and Honda accounted for almost 70 per cent of overall car and truck sales last year in Thailand.

Hajime Yamamoto, a principal at Nomura Research Institute’s consulting division in Thailand, said Chinese brands could take at least 15 percentage points of share from Japan over the next decade by delivering affordable EVs.

“The Japanese are only able to target some of the premium segments,” Yamamoto said.

Toyota, which alongside its group companies has invested nearly US$7 billion in Thailand over the last decade and employs some 275,000 people, told Reuters in a statement that it is considering EV production in the country – its first official confirmation.

Toyota said it has taken 3,356 bookings so far for the electric bZ4X, which it began selling in Thailand last year.

It has also signalled an electric pickup truck is coming, but Goldman Sachs said in a note last month that “there is a growing need for them to consider other product segment expansion”.

GOVERNMENT PUSH

By 2030, Thailand aims to convert around 30 per cent of its annual production of 2.5 million vehicles into EVs with ambitions to become the main regional production hub, for which it is aggressively pursuing investment.

Thailand’s pitch to Chinese EV makers has been its existing supply base – built largely for Japanese automakers – and readiness to provide incentives.

These include lower tariffs on imports on the condition of the subsequent local assembly and some tax breaks for EV manufacturing.

“We realise that if we would like to be the EV hub of the region, we cannot only build the car assembly industry,” said Thailand’s Board of Investment Secretary General Narit Therdsteerasukdi, who has travelled multiple times to China in recent months.

“We need to strengthen the whole ecosystem of EVs.”

The BOI has approved 14 projects by 13 companies, representing an annual production capacity of 276,640 EVs as of May 31.

Great Wall selected Thailand as a regional hub for EVs because of the country’s strong infrastructure, supplier and talent base, alongside its growth potential, said Narong Sritalayon, managing director of its Thailand arm.

“You want to penetrate into a market that has purchasing power and will be able to support your growth plans in the future, especially in a new business like electric vehicles,” he said.



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