The 4th Thai Rath Poll results, “Tim-Pita” and Kao Klai, climbed to the number one spot. Pheu Thai and Phae Thong Tarn The score fell to 2nd place, while the Thai Sang Thai Party gained more points during the final round before the election.
On May 5, 2023, Thairath Poll revealed the results of the 4th opinion poll. In the general election on May 14, 2023, the people will choose who will be their prime ministerial candidate. And will choose a district MP and a party-list MP from which party? The survey was started from April 25 to May 1, 2023. There were respondents. that can be used to process a total of 13,546 times
For a list of popular candidates for Prime Minister The politician who received the number one vote was Mr. Pita Limcharoenrat of the Kao Klai Party with 38% of the vote, 3% higher than the previous time, followed by Ms. Paethongtarn Shinawatra of the Pheu Thai Party with 18% third place. belongs to Mr. Srettha Thavisin, Pheu Thai Party, 10% of the votes, both candidates from Pheu Thai Party received a 6 and 7 percent drop in popularity ratings, respectively.
The score that came in fourth was General Prayut Chan-o-cha, who received 15% of the vote, increased by 1% from the previous poll, and in fifth place was General Prawit Wongsuwan, who received the same 1%.
As for the question of which party you would choose a constituency MP from, it appears that this time the score has fluctuated from last month, namely the Pheu Thai Party that held the land slide campaign. in doing polls around mid-April The top vote of 42% fell to 29% in this round, making the top-ranked party the far-reaching party at 36%.
However, the party’s constituency MPs score far not much increase from the previous survey But the party that got more points in the final round is the Thai Sang Thai Party and Bhumjaithai Party, which received 6% and 5% respectively.
The Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party Considered the third party that received 12% of the vote, while the Palang Pracharat Party received less than 2% of the vote.
As for the question of whether you would choose a party-list MP from which party, the Kaow Klai Party gained the vote until it was the number one party at 39%, while the Pheu Thai Party’s score dropped to 28%, followed by the Ruam Thai Party. Sang Chart 13%, Thai Sang Thai Party 6%, Bhumjaithai Party 4%, Democrat Party 2%, Palang Pracharat and Prachachat 1%
In addition, for in-depth analysis to see the scores of all 400 district MPs to explore the constituencies where various political parties It has a solid sound base and is expected to win. It was found that the party with the most votes was the Pheu Thai Party. which already has a vote in 136 districts, while the Democratic Party Palang Pracharat Party and Bhumjaithai Party There are already solid vote bases in 22 constituencies, the Kao Klai Party has a vote base in 20 constituencies, Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party in 15 constituencies, Prachachat Party in 7 constituencies, and Chart Thai Pattana Party in 6 constituencies. The rest are highly competitive 150 constituencies.
The result of this analysis It is a projection of the vote base of MPs in each of the 400 constituencies, which uses statistical variables from various sources to analyze together, including past election results in 2011 and 2019 (excluding the 2014 election). with problems accessing the voting booths and finally the election result is invalid) Demographic data Economic data of the population of each region. and in addition to the results of the Thai Rath Poll Data from other polling agencies is also included in the calculations, including the Bangkok Poll, Nida Poll, Rangsit University Poll, Super Poll, and FT Confidential Poll.
