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Monday, May 6, 2024

SET may drift lower until political picture clears

The SET index retreated in the past week, with key supports at 1,510 and 1,520, due mainly to political uncertainty, while first-quarter earnings also triggered sell-on-facts activity.

The combined net profit of SET-listed companies edged down 2% year-on-year, but was up 62% quarter-on-quarter on the back of extra items in the fourth quarter of 2022. Excluding extra items, core earnings in the first quarter would have fallen 4% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, in line with our forecasts but off the market consensus by 4 percentage points.

The year-on-year earnings drop reflected inventory losses and weaker refining margins of refiners; higher cost pressures from labour, power and rental expenses; slowing global demand for some export-focused sectors, as well as softer…

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