formulation of government Still have to keep an eye on whether there will be a political cobra. and the promises made by political parties before the election to the non-polarity Will it be true or not, especially the Progressive Party, will still have to go through the senator checkpoint, which is an important variable after this?
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaporn Issarachai, lecturer of the Faculty of Political Science Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University Analyze with the news team. Thairath Online said that in the 2023 elections, the new generation is more active in exercising their rights. But in forming a government there are many factors. Especially the trend of political parties that form a government coalition. The formula for forming a government consists of 5 types as follows:
- The original ruling coalition parties polarized each other. become a minority government But it has the support of 250 senators, but for it to happen, there must be at least 240 votes in the House, if less. It is difficult to produce a cobra. which is a factor that can change the political direction at this point
- original opposition party is Pheu Thai Party, Go Far, Thai Liberal Party, Prachachat combined and more than half were elected. which is highly likely because there is a stream of public support, but senatorwill agree with the establishment of the government or not If there is a far-reaching party in forming a government
- cross-polar government There is a mixture of opposition parties and the old government, such as Pheu Thai Party, Democrat Party, Palang Pracharat, Thai Liberal Party, Prachachart Chartthaipattana without Progressive Party and United Thais create a nation If the two parties on opposite poles are pushed into the opposition will strengthen the government because the opposition has no unity
- outsider prime minister The constitution also allows for this to be done. If each party agrees to find the Prime Minister that can not stop political violence This is another challenging model. But there may be friction from the public. and lead to new political violence
- Can’t choose Prime Minister because of the vote Member of Parliament and senator In total, less than 376 votes can still occur in the event that the senator votes not to vote. lead to the dissolution of parliament causing new elections
Pheu Thai, the leader in establishing a cross-polar government
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Yuttaporn viewed that from evaluating the formula for establishing the government There is a possibility that “Government across the border” The opposition party and the former government unite. and then pushed to go far and included Thai Sang Chart as the opposition because the selection of the Prime Minister and the Senate is an important variable. If the Pheu Thai Party is the leader of the government, the senators can accept and elect the leader of the party as prime minister. There must not be a far-reaching party in the ruling coalition.
“In the past, the Kao Klai Party was a popular trend among the new generation. But let’s not forget that the 2017 constitution creates a distinction between elections and forming a government. The establishment of government may not be in accordance with the will of the people. And cause another wave of political violence if the Prime Minister does not meet the cover.
candidates for the prime minister’s chair The next person is also Ink Paethongtarn Shinawatra Even before, the trend of the Pheu Thai Party has been declining due to Khun Ink taking a leave to give birth and the unclearness of the Pheu Thai Party. make popular trends fall But in the end, Pheu Thai still occupies a leading position in forming the government. Because the important vote base for Pheu Thai is in the constituency MPs, it is likely that there will be More MPs than the Progressive Party
In this election, all groups of people are alert in the election. because it is an ideological struggle amid political polarization Therefore, it is a highly competitive election. If you go back to the elections in 1988, the number of voters has been increasing all the time. Shows that most Thai people are aware of voting for more change.
